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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (18.1 off)
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen -17 (77-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Saunders 40 8-18 1-5 1-3 7 3 4 2 2 18 14 -
B. Clark 40 8-12 2-6 4-4 8 8 4 0 2 22 28 -
A. Jackson 35 6-11 2-3 3-8 5 9 1 0 4 17 17 -
J. Duty 33 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
E. Evans 19 4-6 4-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 14 9 -
B.J. Monteiro 17 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
M. Bolding 16 2-4 1-1 0-2 3 1 2 0 2 5 5 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gaffney 37 3-5 0-0 2-3 10 2 2 3 4 8 16 -
C. Lowe 30 5-6 1-1 1-1 2 11 0 0 6 12 13 -
R. Harris 27 5-14 4-10 0-0 1 2 2 0 6 14 -1 -
M. Glass 23 4-6 4-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
A. Gurley 22 5-14 3-10 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 18 5 -
D. Gibbs 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Bonner 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
G. Correia 15 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Lynch 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter