Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✗ (27.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -22 (53-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 38 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Thompson | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Coble | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Nash | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Shurna | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Rowley | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Day | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pritchard | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Dumes | 30 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Roth | 29 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| V. Jones III | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Williams | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Taber | 18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Story | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Moore | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Finkelmeier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Lewis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Barnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Santa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jobe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Gambles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter