Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -5 (52-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 37 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Blakley | 29 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| S. Latunde | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Johns | 28 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Bragg | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Emanuel | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Lee | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Machado | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shelton | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Thomas | 38 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Keeler | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| D. Hanson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Manley | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter