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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 47.8% 52.2% +0.1 โœ— (37.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 โœ— (38.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—

Actual: Liberty Flames -37 (72-109). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holmes * 32 8-17 4-9 4-5 8 3 2 1 3 24 18 -
W. Bell * 32 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 4 3 1 2 10 16 -
T. Holmes * 30 6-9 3-5 7-8 10 7 2 1 3 22 30 -
Austin Kenon * 23 5-13 5-11 2-4 5 1 2 0 1 17 11 -
Ron Burks * 22 4-4 2-2 0-0 7 3 1 1 1 10 17 -
A. Lonon 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
Keith Gabriel 15 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 10 1 -
Michael Sparks 12 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 7 7 -
Hunter Houston 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Josey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Wayne Whiting 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Stephen Sargent 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Smith * 39 7-13 0-5 4-9 13 0 1 0 3 18 16 -
Seth Curry * 36 4-14 4-9 2-2 2 0 2 0 7 14 -3 -
K. Ohman * 29 4-9 2-4 1-2 3 2 4 0 2 11 9 -
Brolin Floyd * 21 2-5 0-0 0-4 7 4 1 1 1 4 11 -
J. Stephene * 21 2-10 2-9 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 8 1 -
James Spencer 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
T. Baker 14 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 5 6 -
Austin Smith 14 3-5 0-0 4-6 4 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
Bill Weaver 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter