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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 52.4% 47.6% -0.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Koch 41 7-12 2-4 9-12 7 0 0 0 3 25 17 -
A. Farokhmanesh 40 1-10 1-4 1-2 5 5 2 0 0 4 6 -
J. Moran 39 2-6 1-4 0-2 8 1 1 0 4 5 5 -
T. Brown 34 3-5 2-4 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
L. O'Rear 34 2-4 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 2 1 4 14 -
K. Ahelegbe 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 7 -1 -
J. Eglseder 21 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 3 2 11 14 -
K. Dunham 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Rodenberg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Holloway 46 5-13 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 1 1 13 5 -
B. Sampay 41 8-15 0-0 3-5 12 1 1 0 1 19 17 -
L. Phillips 40 3-9 2-5 2-4 2 5 0 0 1 10 7 -
C. Oguchi 39 5-12 2-6 1-1 6 3 0 0 3 13 7 -
O. Eldridge 33 3-13 1-5 2-4 6 1 2 1 1 9 5 -
D. Odiakosa 23 0-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 0 1 0 3 -
L. Shipley 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Rubin 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Holtz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Thornton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Odzic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter