Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Koch | 41 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| A. Farokhmanesh | 40 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Moran | 39 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Brown | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Dunham | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Rodenberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Holloway | 46 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Sampay | 41 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| L. Phillips | 40 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 39 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Shipley | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Rubin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Odzic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter