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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% +4.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 โœ“ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +14 (73-59). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cornley * 40 5-10 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
T. Battle * 38 4-11 2-6 0-1 9 7 0 0 2 10 13 -
A. Jones * 29 4-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 10 11 -
S. Pringle * 29 4-9 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 10 0 -
D. Jackson * 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Morrissey 31 3-8 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
Chris Babb 19 3-8 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
A. Ott 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brooks 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 40 3-8 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 9 9 -
Evan Turner * 38 1-4 0-0 4-4 6 8 0 0 2 6 14 -
William Buford * 22 5-11 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 11 4 -
P.J. Hill * 19 5-8 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 3 3 -
Byron Mullens 25 5-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 2 0 13 15 -
Jeremie Simmons 21 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 14 8 -
K. Madsen 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
Walter Offutt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter