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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.1% 27.9% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 37 4-11 1-5 3-5 7 6 1 0 2 12 13 -
D. Werner 33 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 3 4 -
A. Tyus 29 7-17 0-0 1-1 6 1 2 1 0 15 8 -
E. Walker 25 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 9 5 -
W. Hodge 23 6-10 4-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
C. Parsons 23 5-10 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 12 6 -
R. Shipman 17 2-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
K. Kadji 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thornton 39 8-15 6-11 10-11 5 5 1 1 3 32 26 -
T. Mitchell 38 5-11 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 0 2 12 10 -
G. Temple 33 7-10 3-4 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 21 19 -
B. Spencer 30 4-9 0-3 1-1 6 6 0 0 0 9 12 -
C. Johnson 28 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 3 0 4 5 -
T. Martin 17 1-4 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Q. Thornton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Farrer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter