Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 0 | 7-18 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. London | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 6 | - |
| B. Millner | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Monroe | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Harvin | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Davis-Cain | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| M. Freshour | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
* = starter