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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +32.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +27 (74-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kurz 0 8-17 1-5 0-1 5 0 1 0 1 17 5 -
D. Mickelson 0 0-3 0-2 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Karcic 0 2-7 1-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 7 6 -
K. Dougherty 0 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Getty 0 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 0 2-9 0-5 4-4 11 1 0 2 3 8 10 -
T. Hayes 0 2-5 0-1 2-4 12 2 2 0 1 6 16 -
K. Greene 0 5-8 0-0 5-7 6 3 1 0 0 15 17 -
R. Montgomery 0 5-12 3-6 4-4 0 3 2 0 3 17 7 -

* = starter