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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Meacham 39 5-12 4-8 3-6 1 6 1 0 0 17 13 -
D. McCamey 37 5-10 3-6 2-3 2 7 0 0 3 15 11 -
M. Davis 37 11-14 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 4 22 15 -
C. Frazier 34 2-3 2-2 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 6 11 -
M. Tisdale 30 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 8 10 -
C. Brock 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Keller 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Jordan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler 40 5-11 4-10 3-3 2 0 1 0 1 17 8 -
W. Buford 39 5-13 2-4 2-2 4 3 1 2 2 14 9 -
E. Turner 37 6-15 0-1 5-7 9 5 2 1 2 17 17 -
P.J. Hill 26 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 9 13 -
B. Mullens 24 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Lauderdale 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Simmons 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Madsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Offutt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter