Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Wood | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Mccants | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bell | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Ellison | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| S. Beal | 0 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| N. Gartrell | 0 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| S. Fields | 0 | 4-16 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
* = starter