Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.