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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 (2.1 off)

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Stephens 32 4-11 1-3 4-5 5 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
W. Payne 29 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 5 0 0 2 5 7 -
E. Blue 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
R. Janer 21 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 1 -
C. Hayes 18 5-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 0 3 10 9 -
M. Harrington 17 5-5 0-0 4-5 4 1 1 0 3 14 12 -
T. Kennedy 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
D. Foster 15 4-5 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
N. Jokic 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
J. Fee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Hartfield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Houston 36 6-11 0-0 5-5 6 1 1 4 0 17 18 -
J. Crutcher 33 5-8 5-7 1-3 1 8 0 0 0 16 17 -
P. Smith 29 5-11 3-7 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 14 7 -
G. Robinson 28 5-8 1-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 4 13 8 -
D. Cox 22 4-8 1-2 1-4 3 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
G. Jordan 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 2 1 2 5 -
W. Peters 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
E. Gaiter 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
L. Funderburke 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Gregory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter