Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +11 (75-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Wesley * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jared Quayle * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Gary Wilkinson * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Newbold * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Pooh Williams * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Stavon Williams | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brady Jardine | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaxon Myaer | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Samhan * | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Diamon Simpson * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mickey McConnell * | 29 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Wayne Hunter * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Lucas Walker * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carlin Hughes | 26 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ian O'Leary | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yusef Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter