Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +22 (57-35). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaret von Rosenberg | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Morgan Sabia | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Drake U'u | 25 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Andres Torres | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Michael Turner | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Estes | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Clayton Brothers | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Genesis Maciel | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Minor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| David Bookman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Clint Kuban | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schneider | 36 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dejuan Goodwin | 26 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Javon Parris | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Korey Bauer | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| David Devezin | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kaylen Gregory | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R.J. Hall | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mike Taylor | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lawrence Williams | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter