Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Chicago Ramblers -11 (75-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddren McCain * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sam Maniscalco * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| David Collins * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dodie Dunson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Taylor Brown * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Theron Wilson | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Chris Roberts | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Darian Norris | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Sam Singh | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Blount * | 38 | 9-19 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 | - |
| Justin Cerasoli * | 38 | 12-22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Hicks * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Darrin Williams * | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Aric Van Weelden * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Stanley | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thomas | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| John Benkoske | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Walt Gibler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Leon Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Sterling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Geoff McCammon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter