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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% +4.6 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +3 (79-76). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Buchanan 39 9-15 0-0 13-14 8 1 0 1 1 31 25 -
B. Shingles 37 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 2 -4 -
Kenneth Faried 34 8-14 1-1 0-2 12 1 1 5 2 17 20 -
M. Stallworth 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 7 3 0 2 0 5 9 -
Demonte Harper 29 6-9 2-3 1-3 3 5 0 0 4 15 10 -
R. Murry 18 3-9 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 -2 -
S. Peterson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 0 2 -
T. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fisher 32 7-13 0-2 13-14 5 4 1 0 2 27 22 -
Tyree Evans 32 6-12 5-9 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 19 12 -
C. Singletary 30 5-12 0-1 5-6 3 5 0 0 1 15 10 -
Julian Sullinger 24 0-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 2 1 0 4 6 -
A. Simpson 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Mincy 22 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 2 1 -
B. Parks 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 3 0 5 10 -
M. McKee 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Greene 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
F. Henry-Ala 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter