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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +1.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 79.1% 20.9% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 41 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
D. Sims 41 5-14 1-3 2-3 8 0 0 1 1 13 7 -
M. Harris 38 3-13 1-3 2-2 7 6 0 0 3 9 6 -
C.J. Lee 36 0-5 0-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 0 4 -
S. Douglass 31 4-9 4-9 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
L. Lucas-Perry 17 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
D. Merritt 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
Z. Gibson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
J. Shepherd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kelly 45 8-17 3-6 4-4 8 9 2 0 2 23 23 -
M. Gatens 45 4-10 1-4 7-9 6 3 0 2 3 16 14 -
A. Fuller 45 3-9 1-4 0-2 6 1 0 1 1 7 5 -
D. Bawinkel 45 4-8 4-8 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 12 14 -
J. Cole 38 5-6 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 3 10 9 -
C. Tate 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Palmer 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter