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Hofstra Pride 61
@
Fairfield Stags 56
2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Hofstra Pride Fairfield Stags Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - ✓
Margin 39.5% 60.5% - ✗
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - ✗

Actual: Fairfield Stags -5 (56-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Charles Jenkins * 40 4-17 1-6 4-4 3 9 3 0 5 13 6 -
Zygis Sestokas * 38 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 12 10 -
Nathaniel Lester * 30 2-4 0-1 3-4 6 1 2 0 2 7 10 -
Darren Townes * 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 4 4 -
Arminas Urbutis * 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
Greg Washington 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
Dane Johnson 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 2 3 6 -
Cornelius Vines 13 3-5 3-4 4-4 1 0 1 0 2 13 8 -
Tony Dennison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Yorel Hawkins * 40 6-10 0-0 6-7 8 1 2 2 4 18 17 -
Herbie Allen * 40 5-13 4-9 1-2 4 4 3 0 6 15 7 -
Lyndon Jordan * 39 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 0 5 0 0 10 11 -
Jamal Turner * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
Ryan Olander * 29 2-5 0-2 3-3 4 2 0 2 2 7 8 -
Mike Evanovich 17 2-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Sean Grzeck 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter