Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (71-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Channels | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Drake Reed | 37 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Campbell | 29 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Brown | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcel Williams | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Duncan | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tyrone Caldwell | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Fraley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Duran Roberson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Harris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clark Stepp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Cox | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Josh Young | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Adam Templeton | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Josh Parker | 23 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Alex White | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Craig Stanley | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jacob Baryenbruch | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brent Heemskerk | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bill Eaddy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyson Dirks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kit Avery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter