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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 50.7% 49.3% -0.1 (0.9 off)

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Cartwright 39 5-10 1-4 2-2 4 8 3 0 3 13 15 -
N. Golubovic 38 3-7 2-5 2-4 2 1 0 1 2 10 5 -
M. Ladd 37 6-10 2-3 0-2 10 1 0 0 1 14 14 -
S. Seay 35 7-12 3-5 3-8 7 1 4 2 3 20 19 -
P. George 31 3-10 1-3 0-2 5 4 3 3 5 7 7 -
B. Sperling 18 3-5 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
B. Webster 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 33 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 7 2 1 3 6 15 -
V. Oliver 33 3-8 1-4 2-3 2 4 4 0 1 9 10 -
J. Harden 32 8-11 2-2 7-8 1 1 2 1 4 25 15 -
D. Calegari 26 7-13 2-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 16 11 -
K. Brucculeri 25 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 3 2 -
T. Lowenthal 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
D. Carter 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
R. Silva 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
N. Clark 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Oestreicher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Boone 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Malik 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter