Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -11 (75-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Evans * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Troy Cotton * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Rahmon Fletcher * | 30 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike Schachtner * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Randy Berry * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Tillema | 29 | 10-17 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Bryquis Perine | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Pat Nelson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brent Eaton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Anderson * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 8-13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| T.J. Robinson * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Casper Ware * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Stephan Gilling * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Brian Freeman * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Cornel Williams | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Greg Plater | 19 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Eugene Phelps | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maurice Clady | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Fleming | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter