Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +24 (80-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 36 | 9-21 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Ohman * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Brolin Floyd * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Austin Smith * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Stephene | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Baker | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| James Spencer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Bill Weaver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius James * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Ben Finney * | 31 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Gerald Lee * | 30 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Frank Hassell * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Marsharee Neely * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Keyon Carter | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Trian Iliadis | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marquel De Lancey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Adams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Cooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter