Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +8 (78-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Pierce * | 35 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Calvin Betts * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Watt * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Greg Gamble * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Titus Robinson * | 15 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| John Boyer | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Max Boudreau | 15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Andy Robinson | 11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Byron Mulkey | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jawaan Alston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Vadim Fedotov | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Smiley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adekambi Laleye | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brian Addison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqus Blakely * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Mike Trimboli * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Colin McIntosh * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Garvey Young * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Joseph * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Vier | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joey Accaoui | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Evan Fjeld | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Clarke | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Garrett Kissel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter