Model Predictions
| Model | Canisius Golden Griffins | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -5 (66-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Turner * | 44 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Robert Goldsberry * | 43 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Tomas Vazquez-Simmons * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Julius Coles * | 39 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Greg Logins * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chris Gadley | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Elton Frazier | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rishawn Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Miller * | 42 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Darryl Clements * | 41 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brian Moten * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Joe Jakubowski * | 39 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Otis Polk * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Erik Marschall | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Scott Thomas | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dee Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter