Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +8 (94-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Akognon | 38 | 11-28 | 8-19 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 7 | - |
| Jacques Streeter | 36 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Marcio Lassiter | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Gerard Anderson | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Papa Guisse | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ray Miller | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Thompson | 17 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Chris Rhymes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kwasi Mensah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ameer Shamssud-din | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmar Young | 38 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Hernst Laroche | 37 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Wendell McKines | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Gibson | 24 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Troy Gillenwater | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Gordo Castillo | 18 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Hamidu Rahman | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gabriel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terrence Joyner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter