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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 (0.2 off)

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 33 8-13 4-5 3-4 6 3 1 0 3 23 17 -
J. Vaughan 31 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
D. Monroe 30 3-10 0-0 1-4 10 6 1 0 1 7 13 -
D. Smith 23 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 -2 -
A. Cornelius 22 2-6 1-3 2-3 3 0 1 0 3 7 2 -
L. Birdsong 19 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 4 5 -
R. Pearson 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
M. Morrison 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
C. Fleming 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Tate 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Woodfox 25 8-10 5-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 22 15 -
P. Stinnett 25 2-9 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 5 -1 -
J. Dotzler 23 1-1 0-0 3-5 3 2 1 0 1 5 9 -
K. Walker II 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Carter 20 1-5 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
K. Lawson Jr. 19 5-9 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 2 0 10 10 -
C. Harriman 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
A. Young 18 4-4 1-1 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 13 11 -
K. Korver 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Witter 14 1-5 0-3 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 4 3 -
C. Millard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter