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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% -
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (101-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Teague 38 10-16 2-2 6-6 2 1 0 0 2 28 13 -
L.D. Williams 38 4-8 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
J. Johnson 35 11-17 1-4 3-4 11 2 0 1 4 26 19 -
I. Smith 34 6-10 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 5 12 4 -
A. Aminu 24 2-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 4 7 6 -
C. McFarland 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 4 6 4 -
D. Weaver 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Clark 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Woods 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Hale 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 37 8-16 5-10 9-11 4 3 2 0 1 30 22 -
K. Singler 36 5-14 1-6 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 11 8 -
L. Thomas 33 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 0 7 11 -
E. Williams 32 5-8 0-1 1-3 1 1 4 0 1 11 8 -
G. Henderson 31 11-15 1-4 12-14 1 2 1 0 3 35 21 -
D. McClure 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Paulus 9 0-0 0-0 4-6 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
N. Smith 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Plumlee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter