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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (61-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 36 1-5 1-3 4-5 3 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
T. Hughes 35 3-10 2-7 4-4 4 3 4 0 4 12 9 -
M. Landry 31 4-11 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 11 5 -
J. Leuer 30 3-10 0-2 1-3 2 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
J. Krabbenhoft 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -4 -
T. Jarmusz 18 1-2 1-1 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
K. Nankivil 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Taylor 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Gullikson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 34 8-14 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 17 6 -
G. Suton 26 5-10 0-3 6-6 10 2 0 1 3 16 16 -
D. Roe 25 3-4 0-0 0-3 8 0 0 1 3 6 8 -
D. Summers 24 2-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 5 -1 -
T. Walton 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 6 4 0 0 2 12 -
C. Allen 23 2-7 1-4 3-4 2 4 0 0 1 8 6 -
R. Morgan 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
D. Green 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
M. Gray 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Herzog 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Lucious 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter