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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 (25.8 off)
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -

Actual: Towson Tigers -16 (64-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bolden 37 7-10 1-2 1-1 4 9 1 0 2 16 18 -
R. Holmes 34 6-16 6-12 0-2 7 2 1 0 0 18 12 -
M. Kately 33 8-12 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 16 10 -
K. Thompson 28 5-12 0-0 2-2 9 5 1 2 1 12 16 -
R. Barnes 28 4-8 0-1 2-2 7 4 2 0 2 10 13 -
A. Ali 14 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Smith 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Stokes 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -
S. Thomas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Foote 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hairston 27 1-10 0-3 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Smith 26 8-12 1-2 4-7 6 1 2 0 3 21 15 -
J. Thornton 24 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 5 2 -
T. Franklin 23 2-11 0-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 6 2 -
D. Brewster 21 2-7 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
R. Coleman 21 5-10 2-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 13 4 -
R. Nwankwo 18 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 0 1 -
T. Durant 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
B. Morris 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 4 -
C. Lee 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter