Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers -16 (64-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Bolden | 37 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Holmes | 34 | 6-16 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Marquise Kately | 33 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Thompson | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rogers Barnes | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ameer Ali | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Troy Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Stokes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sean Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Buford Foote | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Long | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Desmond Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Hairston | 27 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jarrel Smith | 26 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Josh Thornton | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Troy Franklin | 23 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| David Brewster | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Rocky Coleman | 21 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Durant | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brian Morris | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Calvin Lee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter