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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Dunlap 0 7-17 0-1 7-9 15 0 1 0 9 21 11 -
J. Jackson 0 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Smith 0 1-5 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 4 6 4 -
A. Franklin 0 4-10 1-2 5-7 6 1 2 0 4 14 9 -
C. Ormerod 0 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 3 0 0 0 2 6 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Morris 0 3-8 0-0 3-4 4 1 2 2 3 9 7 -
L. Eason 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 0 5 -
K. Graham 0 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 4 2 1 2 5 9 -
A. Hightower 0 7-15 1-2 5-9 3 3 3 2 1 20 15 -
L. Barrett 0 5-9 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 1 2 11 8 -

* = starter