Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wright | 35 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 30 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| S. Bird | 29 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Gearlds | 26 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Walker | 20 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Burse | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 22 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Koehn | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Bales | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Y. Oga | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Brooks | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter