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2009-05-30

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wright 35 6-15 0-1 4-4 2 3 1 2 2 16 7 -
S. Johnson 31 0-4 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 3 2 6 -
C. Little 30 5-14 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 3 11 2 -
S. Bird 29 2-11 0-3 1-2 5 4 2 0 2 5 3 -
K. Gearlds 26 3-10 2-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 8 5 -
A. Walker 20 4-11 0-4 4-5 12 0 4 0 1 12 16 -
J. Burse 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 0 2 -
A. Robinson 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 22 5-10 3-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
C. Pondexter 20 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 5 1 -
T. Smith 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 5 3 3 5 -
D. Bonner 17 2-7 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 2 0 5 5 -
D. Taurasi 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
L. Koehn 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
B. Smith 16 1-1 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 3 2 6 -
A. Bales 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
K. Mazzante 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
L. Willingham 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 -
Y. Oga 11 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
S. Brooks 11 1-4 1-3 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. Quigley 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter