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2009-05-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% +3.3 โœ“ (14.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 โœ“ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics +18 (74-56). Ratings: 2009 season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Christon * 23 3-12 1-7 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 -3 -
Janel McCarville * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
L. Moore * 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 -3 -
E. Carson * 16 4-10 0-1 1-1 2 0 3 0 1 9 3 -
Tiffany Jackson-Jones * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 6 6 -
Leilani Mitchell 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 4 -2 -
Jessica Davenport 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 4 3 2 6 -
Sidney Spencer 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Erlana Larkins 17 1-2 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 4 6 4 -
L. Willis 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
Kia Vaughn 13 1-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
Ashley Battle 11 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 8 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matee Ajavon * 26 7-13 1-2 2-2 2 3 4 0 3 17 10 -
Monique Currie * 23 3-9 1-4 6-6 0 0 2 0 2 13 4 -
Lindsey Harding * 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 8 2 -
Nakia Sanford * 17 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 0 1 9 9 -
Chasity Melvin * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Marissa Coleman 29 4-10 0-0 4-8 6 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
Crystal Langhorne 23 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 6 9 -
Nikki Blue 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kelly Schumacher 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Bernice Mosby 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Brown 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kristen Mann 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Shay Murphy 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter