Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Littles | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Black | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Jones | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Hayes | 16 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 16 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Page | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| L. Ervin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Gardin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Holt | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Gay | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Cirone | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 23 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| N. Teasley | 23 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Young | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Lehning | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Castro | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Gipson | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter