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2009-05-27

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -
Bradley-Terry 74.0% 26.0% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 2 2 9 10 -
A. Quigley 19 6-8 3-3 0-1 3 4 1 0 2 15 13 -
T. Johnson 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 2 -2 -
D. Bonner 19 3-7 0-2 4-4 6 0 2 0 0 10 11 -
C. Pondexter 17 4-8 0-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
D. Taurasi 17 1-8 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
T. Smith 16 4-5 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 9 9 -
L. Willingham 14 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
L. Koehn 14 3-7 3-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
K. Mazzante 13 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 -1 -
Y. Oga 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 0 -2 -
A. Bales 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
S. Brooks 10 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 1 1 0 1 0 2 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Boddie 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 4 0 3 4 2 -
L. Harper 21 4-7 0-0 3-5 9 1 1 0 2 11 13 -
C. Kelly 20 3-3 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 0 0 9 12 -
D. Walker 18 2-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 4 -7 -
T. Penicheiro 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 0 5 -
C. Paris 16 4-9 0-0 2-4 3 1 2 0 2 10 5 -
N. Powell 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
H. Maiga-Ba 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 6 2 -
M. Lijie 13 2-5 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
M. Warburton 13 4-8 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
S. Dorrell 12 1-5 0-0 2-3 1 1 2 0 0 4 3 -
C. Allen 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Newton 9 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 1 1 -

* = starter