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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ebie 34 5-9 1-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 11 9 -
K. Langford 34 3-9 0-1 6-6 3 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
K. Mitchem 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
E. Ruzgas 26 2-8 2-7 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Z. Buljan 26 3-9 1-5 7-8 9 1 0 1 2 14 14 -
R. Moss 20 1-5 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. Butler 19 0-4 0-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
J. Ortiz 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ogirri 38 4-11 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 0 -
B. Ewing 36 4-9 1-4 7-10 3 2 3 0 2 16 13 -
T. Johnson 31 7-10 0-1 5-6 6 1 0 1 1 19 16 -
A. Muojeke 28 2-9 0-5 3-6 5 0 1 1 1 7 4 -
A. Waddell 24 0-2 0-0 0-6 3 4 0 0 2 0 3 -
D. Thiam 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 2 0 5 8 -
A.J. Davis 16 2-3 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
M. Linskens 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Dermody 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter