Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -8 (74-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Plackemeier * | 39 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| David Carson * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Nick Daniels * | 21 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ben Botts * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Trey McCorkle * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jakari Johnson | 32 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Deilvez Yearby | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| John Peckinpaugh | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Mixon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Dubois * | 39 | 10-23 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| David Nurse * | 37 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ceola Clark III * | 35 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 6-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Quenton Kirby * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| James Granstra * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Williams Jr. | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Josh Rivers | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Arsenio Mims | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tommie Tyler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Julian Jones Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter