Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Tulane Green Wave | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulane Green Wave +6 (57-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Lutz * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Markel Humphrey * | 37 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Damier Pitts * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Adam Williams * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tirrell Baines | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darryl Merthie | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Octavius Spann | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Sims * | 40 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Robinson Louisme * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kris Richard * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Mayhane * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| David Booker * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Puckett | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Trent Rogers | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Asim McQueen | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Geoff Hogan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter