Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers -4 (64-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Brooks | 34 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Terrance Calvin | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Savalace Townsend | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tyree Glass | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tavaris Washington | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Montgomery | 15 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rickey Parks | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| George Davis | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Terrell Kennedy | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Ootesey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hugh Barnett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nicholas Livisay | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hall | 38 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 6-14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Matthew Miller | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jacques Jones | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Michael Drewy | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Damian Henderson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Walker | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ricky Boyles | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Burrell | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marc Ellis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter