Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +7 (45-38). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrell Span * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Sullivan * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Damon Forest * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Chris Cyprian * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Patterson | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| David Ndoumba | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Burches | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Robert Tibbs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Antonio Pope | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Shaw * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - |
| Matt Kingsley * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Eric Bell * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Josh Alexander * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Girod Adams * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Williams | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zach Williams | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Walt Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Benson Akpan | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter