Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navarre | 40 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 33 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| W. Bynum | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| E. Rush | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Henderson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Anderson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Devine | 38 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 33 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Byrd | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Powell | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Serna | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| P. Roemer | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Weiner | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Brew | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Phippen | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter