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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (1.9 off)

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Navarre 40 3-9 0-3 7-9 4 5 0 0 3 13 10 -
D. Mbunga 34 3-9 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 2 8 1 -
D. Piepoli 33 4-8 4-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
W. Bynum 30 2-6 0-0 6-10 3 2 1 0 2 10 8 -
B. Johnson 27 3-5 2-3 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
E. Rush 27 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 4 3 0 4 6 8 -
C. Henderson 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
C. Anderson 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Brown 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Devine 38 9-18 0-0 2-3 7 3 0 2 3 20 11 -
D.J. Posley 33 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 7 6 -
J. Nunnally 29 4-8 0-3 6-7 5 4 0 0 0 14 15 -
J. Byrd 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Powell 24 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 11 6 -
J. Serna 17 2-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 1 0 7 12 -
P. Roemer 16 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 3 2 0 0 3 10 -
J. Weiner 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
W. Brew 14 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Phippen 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Somogyi 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter