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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% -
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 12.3% 87.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 33 7-12 0-0 2-2 5 5 0 0 4 16 10 -
D. Dumes 32 2-7 2-4 1-2 5 0 1 0 4 7 2 -
T. Pritchard 28 6-11 0-0 0-2 8 1 4 0 3 12 11 -
M. Roth 25 1-5 1-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
M. Story 23 4-11 0-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 9 3 -
K. Taber 21 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
N. Williams 17 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 3 8 2 -
B. Lewis 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
D. Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Jobe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Finkelmeier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 37 10-14 5-6 1-3 3 3 2 0 4 26 16 -
J. Johnson 34 6-11 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 5 4 14 15 -
C. Kramer 23 3-3 1-1 0-1 1 4 5 0 2 7 12 -
K. Grant 21 0-3 0-3 5-8 3 3 2 0 2 5 8 -
L. Jackson 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
M. Green 20 2-3 0-0 5-9 5 2 1 0 0 9 14 -
R. Hummel 16 1-2 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 3 0 3 6 -
N. Calasan 13 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
B. Riddell 13 1-2 1-2 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
C. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wohlford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter