Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +14 (81-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdell Jones III * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tom Pritchard * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Malik Story * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Taber * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nick Williams * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Devan Dumes | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Matt Roth | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Broderick Lewis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tijan Jobe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brett Finkelmeier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E'Twaun Moore * | 37 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chris Kramer * | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nemanja Calasan * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Grant | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Green | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Hummel | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Riddell | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ryne Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Wohlford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Reid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter