Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -19 (84-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle McAlarney * | 40 | 9-18 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Ayers * | 40 | 9-17 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Zach Hillesland * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Tory Jackson * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Peoples | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Tyrone Nash | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Luke Zeller | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tim Andree | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carleton Scott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff McDermott * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sharaud Curry * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Weyinmi Efejuku * | 32 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Xavier * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Kale * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 26 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Brian McKenzie | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Randall Hanke | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Chris Baudinet | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Kellogg | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter