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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 68.0% 32.0% -
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.9% 20.1% -

Actual: Providence Friars -19 (84-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McAlarney 40 9-18 4-11 3-5 4 2 1 0 3 25 11 -
R. Ayers 40 9-17 7-11 3-5 8 3 1 1 0 28 24 -
Z. Hillesland 32 1-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Peoples 28 5-8 2-3 2-3 3 9 1 0 2 14 17 -
L. Harangody 24 5-9 0-0 8-10 8 2 0 0 3 18 16 -
T. Jackson 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Nash 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
L. Zeller 12 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Scott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Andree 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McDermott 34 3-9 0-2 2-5 7 4 1 1 1 8 11 -
S. Curry 33 7-11 1-3 8-8 1 3 0 0 0 23 16 -
W. Efejuku 32 11-18 3-4 6-8 6 1 0 0 3 31 17 -
M. Brooks 26 4-13 0-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 8 1 -
J. Xavier 26 3-11 1-6 1-2 1 0 4 1 1 8 2 -
J. Kale 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 2 3 -
B. McKenzie 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Hanke 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -
C. Baudinet 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Kellogg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter