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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 74.2% 25.8% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 37 2-6 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
L. Fields 34 8-16 1-4 2-2 8 0 2 0 2 19 11 -
A. Goods 29 2-7 2-4 10-12 5 0 0 0 4 16 10 -
L. Hill 29 8-16 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 18 6 -
J. Green 20 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 2 0 1 1 0 2 -
J. Owens 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 0 5 -
J. Trotter 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Dildy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mann 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Bullock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Brown 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 36 2-7 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Catron 27 5-9 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 10 9 -
L. Longmire 24 4-13 1-3 2-2 6 1 4 0 2 11 7 -
M. Dunigan 24 5-11 0-0 4-5 8 1 2 1 2 14 13 -
G. Sim 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 -
K. Brown 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Humphrey 19 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 3 2 2 0 9 14 -
J. Crittle 16 2-3 0-0 4-6 5 1 0 2 1 8 12 -
D. Wiley 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter