Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.