Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Adams | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Malloy | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Eller | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Marcial | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Selling | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Stigall | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Blockmon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Ward | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wilson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johannsen | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Bishop | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Larson | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C. Jones | 26 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 12 | - |
| J. Lepley | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| S. Lee | 24 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| E. House | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter