Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys +12 (78-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garfield Blair * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Smith * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tim Lang * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kris Thomas * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mark Lohuis * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sheldon Oliver | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Graeme Radford | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bowen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Olivier Dupiton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortez Riley * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Stan Januska * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Zack Riggins * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Eni Cuka * | 29 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Groothuis * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt Sauey | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Germaine Sparkes | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Fair | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Lovelace | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ashton Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter