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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 89.7% 10.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 37 5-14 0-2 3-4 3 3 1 0 1 13 5 -
L. Cummard 35 8-15 1-3 3-4 7 4 1 1 1 20 17 -
J. Tavernari 34 7-15 5-9 0-0 11 1 0 0 2 19 14 -
J. Emery 32 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 6 9 -
L. Morgan Jr. 22 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 2 5 -
C. Miles 19 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 10 7 -
C. Abouo 19 2-4 0-1 0-2 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
N. Hartsock 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield 35 0-4 0-2 1-3 5 4 1 0 3 1 4 -
W. Adams 32 5-11 3-6 9-14 7 5 0 0 2 22 21 -
J. Darger 28 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
R. Rougeau 27 5-10 0-0 2-3 5 3 0 3 3 12 10 -
T. Willis 26 4-7 0-2 2-2 8 4 2 0 4 10 13 -
K. Wallace 26 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
M. Rutledge 22 4-6 2-3 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
D. Santee 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter