Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (75-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Lee Cummard * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jonathan Tavernari * | 34 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jackson Emery * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Miles * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lamont Morgan Jr. | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Charles Abouo | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Noah Hartsock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield * | 35 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Wink Adams * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 9-14 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Joe Darger * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Rene Rougeau * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tre'Von Willis * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mareceo Rutledge | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Darris Santee | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter